16 Comments
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Matt K's avatar

I love Bitcoin but it does worry me sometimes as to where its heading. Your article is compelling and food for thought. Thank you

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Senatus's avatar

Awesome article, thanks for writing this. I think ETH has issues of its own (see for example https://senatus.substack.com/p/why-99-of-cryptocurrencies-centralize) but I think your analysis of Bitcoin's (lack of) future is spot on. Kudos.

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ӾNO's avatar

Great article. Always important to have a bull and a bear point a view before making an investment.

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AncientSion's avatar

Do Monero ? please ?

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Stephan's avatar

A big feature of BTC that there is no upgrade path and it will running for a long time. No BUG can be introduced that way. Thus is very safe compared to other chains. What if there is a BUG in a future ETH / X Y Z chain upgrade?

BTC miners er being build on places with excess energy or wasted energy places and on renewable energy which have lower costs and mining chips are becoming more and more efficient. So the 'leak' to miners probably goes down.

NOBODY is in control of BTC anymore which is big plus IMHO.

BTC is the coin that created and made the crypto space possible.

So If you force me to buy something that has to be around in 20 years. I would buy BTC.

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Kwabena Boakye Yiadom II's avatar

You're very right.

The profit incentive directs the miners to look for cheap sources of electricity for their operations. I recently found out that some miners are now using waste volcanic energy as their source of electricity. Some are now also using oil for mining rigs that would be flared of as their source of electricity.

So the price of electricity becomes cheaper as they find innovative (and environmentally friendly) sources of electricity.

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lemeguess's avatar

You're wrong.

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Stephan's avatar

about?

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dguy's avatar

Fine article except it will not be Ethereum with it's promises on second layer but Monero which is already working like money on first layer.

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dguy's avatar

Fine article except it will not be Ethereum with it's promises on second layer but Monero which is already working like money on first layer.

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James Wang's avatar

Great analysis and write up. I’m wondering if you might be able to do a similar breakdown of the other “brand” of bitcoin, currently called BSV?

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David Buffalo's avatar

Outstanding process flow analysis of Bitcoin. Thanks for publishing this.

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Pedro's avatar

I think Ethereum has a bigger probability of being disrupted (due to its technology and what it is trying to achieve) than Bitcoin.

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KYLO's avatar

Sick Forrest, thanks for taking your time into elaborating this

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Looch's avatar

The whole crypto market seems to follow s&p500 more than it follows btc now. And why allow Eth it’s upgrades but not btc? You mentioned future tx fees to supplement mining rewards, but btc has a greater potential and incentive to evolve its core than other chains.

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Coreadrin's avatar

bitcoin did not have lack of scalability, it only had that because a certain sect of early bitcoiners were dead set that maximum DeCeNtRaLiZaTiOn was the number one priority. Not low friction, not low fees and onboarding for transaction volume, etc. That's when they hit the scale ceiling, very very quickly. 1mb block sizes was a ridiculous idea. If you had 20 - 30 globally distributed mining nodes that would be plenty, plus you'd have all the ancillary services contributing to data storage and access, script processing with all bitcoin's original capabilities, etc.

Instead, we have CrippleCoin™ BTC and Lightning, a centralized custodial derivatives network as a 'scaling solution'.

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